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2002-2003 SAN FRANCISCORELATED CONFERENCES  
 

 

 
CONFERENCES

2004 Washington, DC

 

 

   

In conjunction with the World Futures Society, the Society for Police Futurists International hosted three presentations at the 2004 conference. All three presentations had excellent attendance. The panels each ended with a lively Q&A session with attendees from the audience.

   
     

Strategies for More Effective Law Enforcement

   
     

On Monday afternoon, an international panel of experts discussed “Strategies for More Effective Law Enforcement in the Future.” The panel was led by retired Chief Inspector Alan Beckley from the United Kingdom (and outgoing PFI president), who was joined by Major Tyree Blocker, Pennsylvania State Police; James Conser, Youngstown State University; Olli Olligschlaeger, President, TruNorth Data Systems, Inc.; and Jenny Gomery and Shelby Williams, both of the Lancashire Constabulary, also in England.

Using a mini-Delphi process, panelists collated information gleaned from the PFI membership on how law enforcement must change to meet its mission in the future. Jim Conser presented the seven key findings.

Seven Strategies

  • The Mission Challenge Strategy:
    • Increased cooperation and interoperability between agencies.
    • Possibly mergers and regionalization of operations.
    • Greater information analysis, surveillance and intelligence gathering at all levels of government.
  • Ensure Public Safety and Quality Service Strategy:
    • Move from traditional paradigm to one of leadership, proactiveness and community service
  • Things That Must Change Strategy:
    • Change police culture:
  • More insightful administrators and better caliber recruits
    • Pressure Groups’ Effect on Policing Strategy:
      • Recognize power of community
      • Energize leadership response of law enforcement officials
  • Changes to Improve Professionalism Strategy:
    • Greater investment in:
      • Selection
      • Training Techniques
      • Standards
  • Most Likely Ethical Problems Facing Officers Strategy:
    • Establish accountability mechanisms
    • Licensing and certification revocations
  • Technological Impacts on Policing Strategy:
    • Invest in and require
    • Technological competence of officers
    • Information technologies necessary for modern day policing
    • Partnerships with private sector and funding sources to provide technological tools needed

Each of the panelists then expanded on these concepts, offering various examples of new programs that are working, here and abroad. The various aspects of ethics were a recurring theme, particularly in the form of potential abuse of privacy issues.

Olli Olligschlaeger, focusing on the technological aspect of enforcement in the future, stressed that agencies need to become more involved. They need to anticipate (for futurists: “project”) how new crimes could surface and be ready. Right now, we’re always playing catch-up with the crooks. In addition, there should be proactiveness relative to the technology: Agencies should be involved in the development, procurement and training for advancing technologies. He said that peace officers “need to be smart users.” The ability to do data mining is desperately needed by law enforcement.  He noted that America is the easiest country to disappear in: to become someone else, to steal someone’s identity.

Following the presentations, several members from the audience addressed questions and comments to the panel. Key themes included: The cost of terrorism will continue to be to privacy and citizens’ rights.  Neighborhoods will have a more directive role in the mission than ever before (Neighborhood Driven Policing) Government needs marketing, safeguards and leadership, particularly in the area of information sharing.  The major theme was that law enforcement and its leaders cannot be complacent and continue in traditional models.

   
     

Surviving Hell: Leadership lessons for a Tough Future

   
     

The catchy title drew a sizable audience for this presentation by Tom Esensten, principle of his own consulting firm: Organizational Effectiveness Consulting. Tom specializes in public safety and serves law enforcement clients nationwide. He is also the Course Manager for California POST’s Law Enforcement Command College.

Based on his father’s experience as a prisoner of war during the Korean conflict, Tom drew vivid portraits of this experience that mesmerized the audience. Very little can be as tough as conditions as a POW in some countries, particularly in the 1950s. But from these experiences came leadership lessons valid for the future as well as today.

Among them: Someone better be in charge. Everyone takes a turn being at risk or doing the dirty work. Everyone gives up a little something for the good of the whole.

Creative solutions are required. We must never forget and we must always continue to learn.

   
     

The Many Faces of Terrorism

   
     

Terrorism is a “tactic” that is here to stay for the foreseeable future, PFI panelists agreed, adding that communities and individuals can lessen the threat of being victimized by vigilance and cooperative effort.

In combating terrorism, Alan Beckley, immediate past president of PFI and a consultant in the United Kingdom, advised: “Think long and hard before taking military action, as deaths in countries you attack create martyrs.” Based on his 20 years experience in policing and courses he has taught in counterterrorism, Beckley added: “Don’t be frightened to involve citizens in homeland security programs—you might be surprised how energetic they are.”

PFIer Bernard “Bud” Levin spoke of overreaction to the terrorist threat:  “We demolish relationships, waste resources, demoralize ourselves, and distort our economy, all in the name of protection.” Levin, commander of Policy and Planning

in the Waynesboro, VA, Police Department and head of Social Studies at nearby

Blue Ridge Community College, added: “In doing so, we give the terrorists a free win—out of mindless fear, we damage ourselves far more than they can damage us.”

The terror threat comes from domestic (e.g., racists, anti-government, separatists, anti-abortion, animal liberation) as well as foreign groups, warned PFIer Carl Jensen, supervisory special agent in the Behavioral Science Unit of the FBI, adding the formula for terrorism is the same as the one used in crime prevention: motivated offender + suitable targets + lack of capable guardianship = terrorism (and crime).

“Terrorism is a tactic used by the weak against the strong,” said Jensen, who teaches Terrorism Investigation at the FBI Academy. “Once we realize that our chances of becoming a victim are remote, we have taken away a significant benefit for the terrorists. If they don’t achieve the terror they seek, then they lose their advantage.”  Emphasizing that terrorism is a tactic that can be used by any participant in a dispute—”One man’s terrorist is another man’s freedom fighter”—PFIer Gene Stephens showed a “Homeland Security” visual of four armed Native Americans “Fighting Terrorism Since 1492.”

Acknowledging that trains, planes, rapid transit, and buses will continue to be targets, Stephens, a retired university professor and continuing futures presenter in police executive development programs, warned an almost certain future target will be the worldwide internet and cyber data and an almost certain new method will be biotech-created pathogens to create lethal air, water, and environment.

All participants agreed that collective vigilance and action at the community level to proactively root out terror plots can positively impact the threat level. At the same time, all suggested citizens should get on with their lives and refuse to live in fear—thus thwarting the goals of terrorists’ groups.

[In-depth reports of conference contents can be found in the Fall 2005 issue of the PFI Newsletter, Police Futurist

   
     
     
     
 
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